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Paderborn vs Schalke 04 prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paderborn favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Paderborn a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 31% and gives Schalke 04 23%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Paderborn and 0.8 from Schalke 04, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 34% chance of three or more goals and a 41% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Paderborn keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Schalke 04 in 29%.
Paderborn are 13th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; Schalke 04 are 17th with 6. In their last five league games Paderborn took 6 points (LDWDD) and Schalke 04 took 1 (LLDLL). This season Paderborn average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.66 against per game; Schalke 04 average 1.08 for and 2.03 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (15%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.1 goals in total: 1.25 for Paderborn and 0.81 for Schalke 04.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paderborn vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall gives Paderborn a 46% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Schalke 04 23%. GossipBall makes Paderborn favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home.
What is the predicted score for Paderborn vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Paderborn, 0.8 for Schalke 04). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%).
Will both teams score in Paderborn vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall gives a 41% chance that both Paderborn and Schalke 04 score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paderborn vs Schalke 04?
There is a 34% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.1 goals in total (1.2 for Paderborn, 0.8 for Schalke 04).
When is Paderborn vs Schalke 04?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.