Español
Português
Union Berlin vs Hamburg prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Union Berlin slight favourites to beat Hamburg at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Union Berlin a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Hamburg 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Union Berlin and 1.1 from Hamburg, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Union Berlin keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Hamburg in 27%.
Union Berlin are 16th in the table with 7 points from 9 games; Hamburg are 11th with 12. In their last five league games Union Berlin took 6 points (WDDDL) and Hamburg took 9 (WWLLW). This season Union Berlin average 0.97 expected goals (xG) for and 1.98 against per game; Hamburg average 1.14 for and 1.86 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Union Berlin won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin, a win for Hamburg.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.32 for Union Berlin and 1.12 for Hamburg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Union Berlin won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin, a win for Hamburg.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Union Berlin vs Hamburg?
GossipBall gives Union Berlin a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Hamburg 31%. GossipBall makes Union Berlin slight favourites to beat Hamburg at home.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Hamburg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Union Berlin, 1.1 for Hamburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (11%), 0–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs Hamburg?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Union Berlin and Hamburg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Union Berlin vs Hamburg?
There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.3 for Union Berlin, 1.1 for Hamburg).
When is Union Berlin vs Hamburg?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and Hamburg?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Union Berlin won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin, a win for Hamburg.