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Werder Bremen vs Hamburg prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Werder Bremen favourites to beat Hamburg at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Werder Bremen a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Hamburg 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Werder Bremen and 1.1 from Hamburg, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Hamburg in 21%.
Werder Bremen are 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games; Hamburg are 15th with 9. In their last five league games Werder Bremen took 11 points (WDDWW) and Hamburg took 9 (WWWLL). This season Werder Bremen average 1.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.57 against per game; Hamburg average 1.00 for and 1.82 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Werder Bremen won 1, Hamburg won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburg, a win for Werder Bremen.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.57 for Werder Bremen and 1.10 for Hamburg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Werder Bremen won 1, Hamburg won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburg, a win for Werder Bremen.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
GossipBall gives Werder Bremen a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hamburg 26%. GossipBall makes Werder Bremen favourites to beat Hamburg at home.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Werder Bremen, 1.1 for Hamburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Werder Bremen and Hamburg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Werder Bremen, 1.1 for Hamburg).
When is Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and Hamburg?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Werder Bremen won 1, Hamburg won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburg, a win for Werder Bremen.