Champions LeagueMatchday 5Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa prediction

19%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.7% chance
21%
draw
61%
away win
Win probability: home 19%, draw 21%, away 61%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Aston Villa clear favourites to beat Galatasaray SK away from home in the Champions League on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Galatasaray SK a 19% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Aston Villa 61%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Galatasaray SK and 2.2 from Aston Villa, so goals look likely: there is a 67% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Galatasaray SK keep a clean sheet in 11% of outcomes, Aston Villa in 30%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
7
8
6
3
2
1
3
9
10
7
4
2
2
2
5
6
4
2
1
3
<1
2
2
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Galatasaray SK goalsColumns: Aston Villa goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

1–29.7%
1–19.1%
0–28.1%
1–37.2%
0–16.8%
0–36.0%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
86%
3 or more goals
67%
4 or more goals
45%
5 or more goals
26%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.19 for Galatasaray SK and 2.24 for Aston Villa.

Winning margin

Explained
Galatasaray SK by 3
2%
Galatasaray SK by 2
5%
Galatasaray SK by 1
11%
Draw
21%
Aston Villa by 3
11%
Aston Villa by 2
18%
Aston Villa by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Galatasaray SK expected goals1.19
Aston Villa expected goals2.24
Galatasaray SK keep a clean sheet11%
Aston Villa keep a clean sheet30%
Galatasaray SK win without conceding7%
Aston Villa win without conceding27%
Galatasaray SK score 2 or more33%
Aston Villa score 2 or more65%

Questions and answers

Who will win Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall gives Galatasaray SK a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 61%. GossipBall makes Aston Villa clear favourites to beat Galatasaray SK away from home.

What is the predicted score for Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Galatasaray SK, 2.2 for Aston Villa). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Galatasaray SK and Aston Villa score.

Will there be three or more goals in Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa?

There is a 67% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.2 for Galatasaray SK, 2.2 for Aston Villa).

When is Galatasaray SK vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC