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Manchester City vs Napoli prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Napoli at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Manchester City a 74% chance of winning, puts the draw at 16% and gives Napoli 10%.
GossipBall expects 2.6 goals from Manchester City and 0.9 from Napoli, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Napoli in 7%.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 2.64 for Manchester City and 0.91 for Napoli.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedQuestions and answers
Who will win Manchester City vs Napoli?
GossipBall gives Manchester City a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Napoli 10%. GossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Napoli at home.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Napoli?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.6 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Napoli). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Napoli?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Manchester City and Napoli score.
Will there be three or more goals in Manchester City vs Napoli?
There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (2.6 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Napoli).
When is Manchester City vs Napoli?
Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.