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Champions LeagueMatchday 6Wednesday 9 December 2026 ·

Stuttgart vs Lille prediction

Stuttgart
53%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
23%
draw
Lille
24%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 23%, away 24%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Stuttgart favourites to beat Lille at home in the Champions League on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Stuttgart a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Lille 24%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Stuttgart and 1.2 from Lille, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Lille in 15%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
5
3
1
<1
<1
1
8
11
6
3
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Stuttgart goalsColumns: Lille goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.6%
2–19.7%
2–07.8%
1–07.6%
1–26.3%
3–16.2%

Goals

Explained
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
83%
3 or more goals
61%
4 or more goals
39%
5 or more goals
21%
Both teams score
61%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.93 for Stuttgart and 1.24 for Lille.

Winning margin

Explained
Stuttgart by 3
9%
Stuttgart by 2
16%
Stuttgart by 1
22%
Draw
23%
Lille by 3
2%
Lille by 2
7%
Lille by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Stuttgart expected goals1.93
Lille expected goals1.24
Stuttgart keep a clean sheet29%
Lille keep a clean sheet15%
Stuttgart win without conceding24%
Lille win without conceding10%
Stuttgart score 2 or more57%
Lille score 2 or more35%

Questions and answers

Who will win Stuttgart vs Lille?

GossipBall gives Stuttgart a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lille 24%. GossipBall makes Stuttgart favourites to beat Lille at home.

What is the predicted score for Stuttgart vs Lille?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Stuttgart, 1.2 for Lille). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Stuttgart vs Lille?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Stuttgart and Lille score.

Will there be three or more goals in Stuttgart vs Lille?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.9 for Stuttgart, 1.2 for Lille).

When is Stuttgart vs Lille?

Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC