Español
Português
Blackburn vs Derby prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Blackburn slight favourites to beat Derby at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Blackburn a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Derby 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Blackburn and 1.1 from Derby, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Derby in 28%.
Blackburn are 13th in the table with 21 points from 15 games; Derby are 23rd with 10. In their last five league games Blackburn took 6 points (LWLLW) and Derby took 4 (LDLLW). This season Blackburn average 1.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.76 against per game; Derby average 1.05 for and 1.94 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Blackburn won 3, Derby won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Derby 3–1 Blackburn, a win for Derby.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.28 for Blackburn and 1.09 for Derby.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Blackburn won 3, Derby won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Derby 3–1 Blackburn, a win for Derby.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Blackburn vs Derby?
GossipBall gives Blackburn a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Derby 31%. GossipBall makes Blackburn slight favourites to beat Derby at home.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Derby?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Blackburn, 1.1 for Derby). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Derby?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Blackburn and Derby score.
Will there be three or more goals in Blackburn vs Derby?
There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.3 for Blackburn, 1.1 for Derby).
When is Blackburn vs Derby?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Derby?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Blackburn won 3, Derby won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Derby 3–1 Blackburn, a win for Derby.