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Bolton vs Blackburn prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bolton slight favourites to beat Blackburn at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Bolton a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Blackburn 33%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Bolton and 1.3 from Blackburn, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bolton keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Blackburn in 23%.
Bolton are 18th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; Blackburn are 13th with 21. In their last five league games Bolton took 4 points (DLLWL) and Blackburn took 6 (LWLLW). This season Bolton average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Blackburn average 1.04 for and 1.76 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.47 for Bolton and 1.31 for Blackburn.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bolton vs Blackburn?
GossipBall gives Bolton a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Blackburn 33%. GossipBall makes Bolton slight favourites to beat Blackburn at home.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Blackburn?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Bolton, 1.3 for Blackburn). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Blackburn?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Bolton and Blackburn score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bolton vs Blackburn?
There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.5 for Bolton, 1.3 for Blackburn).
When is Bolton vs Blackburn?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.