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Bolton vs Portsmouth prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bolton slight favourites to beat Portsmouth at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Bolton a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Portsmouth 35%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Bolton and 1.4 from Portsmouth, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bolton keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Portsmouth in 21%.
Bolton are 17th in the table with 17 points from 14 games; Portsmouth are 10th with 22. In their last five league games Bolton took 7 points (WDLLW) and Portsmouth took 11 (WDWDW). This season Bolton average 1.32 expected goals (xG) for and 1.93 against per game; Portsmouth average 1.24 for and 1.27 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.54 for Bolton and 1.43 for Portsmouth.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bolton vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall gives Bolton a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 35%. GossipBall makes Bolton slight favourites to beat Portsmouth at home.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Bolton, 1.4 for Portsmouth). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Bolton and Portsmouth score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bolton vs Portsmouth?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.5 for Bolton, 1.4 for Portsmouth).
When is Bolton vs Portsmouth?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.