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Burnley vs Blackburn prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Burnley favourites to beat Blackburn at home in the Championship on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC. It gives Burnley a 58% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Blackburn 16%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Burnley and 0.7 from Blackburn, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 41% chance of three or more goals and a 41% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Burnley keep a clean sheet in 49% of outcomes, Blackburn in 20%.
Burnley are 22nd in the table with 10 points from 14 games; Blackburn are 14th with 18. In their last five league games Burnley took 3 points (DLLDD) and Blackburn took 6 (WLWLL). This season Burnley average 1.25 expected goals (xG) for and 1.54 against per game; Blackburn average 1.04 for and 1.79 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 3, Blackburn won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2025, finished Blackburn 0–1 Burnley, a win for Burnley.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (15%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.59 for Burnley and 0.72 for Blackburn.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 3, Blackburn won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2025, finished Blackburn 0–1 Burnley, a win for Burnley.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Burnley vs Blackburn?
GossipBall gives Burnley a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Blackburn 16%. GossipBall makes Burnley favourites to beat Blackburn at home.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Blackburn?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Burnley, 0.7 for Blackburn). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%).
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Blackburn?
GossipBall gives a 41% chance that both Burnley and Blackburn score.
Will there be three or more goals in Burnley vs Blackburn?
There is a 41% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.6 for Burnley, 0.7 for Blackburn).
When is Burnley vs Blackburn?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Blackburn?
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 3, Blackburn won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2025, finished Blackburn 0–1 Burnley, a win for Burnley.