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Burnley vs Preston prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Burnley clear favourites to beat Preston at home in the Championship on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 12:00 UTC. It gives Burnley a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Preston 16%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Burnley and 0.9 from Preston, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Burnley keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Preston in 16%.
Burnley are 22nd in the table with 10 points from 15 games; Preston are 24th with 8. In their last five league games Burnley took 2 points (LLDDL) and Preston took 4 (LDLLW). This season Burnley average 1.33 expected goals (xG) for and 1.75 against per game; Preston average 1.15 for and 1.59 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 1, Preston won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.86 for Burnley and 0.85 for Preston.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 1, Preston won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Burnley vs Preston?
GossipBall gives Burnley a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Preston 16%. GossipBall makes Burnley clear favourites to beat Preston at home.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Preston?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Burnley, 0.9 for Preston). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Preston?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Burnley and Preston score.
Will there be three or more goals in Burnley vs Preston?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.9 for Burnley, 0.9 for Preston).
When is Burnley vs Preston?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Preston?
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 1, Preston won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.