ChampionshipMatchday 17Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Cardiff vs Preston prediction

48%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
24%
draw
27%
away win
Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 27%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Cardiff favourites to beat Preston at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Cardiff a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Preston 27%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Cardiff and 1.3 from Preston, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Cardiff keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Preston in 18%.

Cardiff are 14th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Preston are 24th with 8. In their last five league games Cardiff took 8 points (DWLDW) and Preston took 4 (LDLLW). This season Cardiff average 1.99 expected goals (xG) for and 1.78 against per game; Preston average 1.15 for and 1.59 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cardiff won 2, Preston won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Apr 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
4
2
<1
<1
1
8
11
7
3
<1
<1
2
8
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
4
6
3
1
<1
<1
4
2
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Cardiff goalsColumns: Preston goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.3%
2–19.5%
1–08.3%
2–07.5%
1–26.9%
2–26.0%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
58%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
59%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.74 for Cardiff and 1.26 for Preston.

Winning margin

Explained
Cardiff by 3
7%
Cardiff by 2
15%
Cardiff by 1
22%
Draw
24%
Preston by 3
3%
Preston by 2
8%
Preston by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Cardiff expected goals1.74
Preston expected goals1.26
Cardiff keep a clean sheet28%
Preston keep a clean sheet18%
Cardiff win without conceding23%
Preston win without conceding12%
Cardiff score 2 or more52%
Preston score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Cardiff
W v Burnley5–4 · 7 Nov
D v West Ham3–3 · 4 Nov
L @ Wolves0–3 · 31 Oct
W v Birmingham1–0 · 24 Oct
D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 17 Oct
Preston
W v Southampton1–0 · 7 Nov
L v Sheffield United2–3 · 3 Nov
L @ Stoke0–2 · 31 Oct
D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cardiff won 2, Preston won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Apr 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

Preston 2–2 Cardiff8 Apr 2025
Cardiff 0–2 Preston11 Dec 2024
Cardiff 0–2 Preston10 Feb 2024
Preston 1–2 Cardiff25 Nov 2023
Preston 2–0 Cardiff11 Mar 2023
Cardiff 0–0 Preston27 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

CARPNE
1.80
Goals
0.87
1.80
Conceded
2.00
1.99
xG
1.15
1.78
xG against
1.59
16.7
Shots
11.7
6.3
On target
2.4
6.4
Corners
4.7
1.73
Yellow cards
2.27
7%
Clean sheets
7%
73%
Both score
60%
67%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Cardiff vs Preston?

GossipBall gives Cardiff a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Preston 27%. GossipBall makes Cardiff favourites to beat Preston at home.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Preston?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Cardiff, 1.3 for Preston). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Preston?

GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Cardiff and Preston score.

Will there be three or more goals in Cardiff vs Preston?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Cardiff, 1.3 for Preston).

When is Cardiff vs Preston?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Preston?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cardiff won 2, Preston won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Apr 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC