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Charlton vs Birmingham prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Birmingham slight favourites to beat Charlton away from home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Charlton a 28% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Birmingham 42%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Charlton and 1.2 from Birmingham, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 38% chance of three or more goals and a 44% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Charlton keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Birmingham in 38%.
Charlton are 19th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; Birmingham are 1st with 29. In their last five league games Charlton took 3 points (LLLLW) and Birmingham took 12 (WLWWW). This season Charlton average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Birmingham average 1.78 for and 1.37 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 1, Birmingham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Charlton 1–0 Birmingham, a win for Charlton.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 0.97 for Charlton and 1.23 for Birmingham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 1, Birmingham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Charlton 1–0 Birmingham, a win for Charlton.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Charlton vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives Charlton a 28% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Birmingham 42%. GossipBall makes Birmingham slight favourites to beat Charlton away from home.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Birmingham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Charlton, 1.2 for Birmingham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives a 44% chance that both Charlton and Birmingham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Charlton vs Birmingham?
There is a 38% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.0 for Charlton, 1.2 for Birmingham).
When is Charlton vs Birmingham?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Birmingham?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 1, Birmingham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Charlton 1–0 Birmingham, a win for Charlton.