ChampionshipMatchday 17Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Charlton vs Lincoln prediction

37%
home win
predicted score
2–1
7.8% chance
30%
draw
33%
away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 30%, away 33%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Charlton slight favourites to beat Lincoln at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Charlton a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Lincoln 33%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Charlton and 1.1 from Lincoln, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Charlton keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Lincoln in 31%.

Charlton are 19th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; Lincoln are 21st with 15. In their last five league games Charlton took 3 points (LLLLW) and Lincoln took 4 (DWLLL). This season Charlton average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Lincoln average 1.32 for and 1.46 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
11
11
6
2
<1
<1
1
12
14
7
3
<1
<1
2
7
8
4
2
<1
3
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Charlton goalsColumns: Lincoln goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.8%
1–011.8%
0–110.9%
0–010.9%
2–17.8%
1–27.2%
1 or more goals
89%
2 or more goals
66%
3 or more goals
39%
4 or more goals
19%
5 or more goals
8%
Both teams score
46%

GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.17 for Charlton and 1.09 for Lincoln.

Winning margin

Explained
Charlton by 3
4%
Charlton by 2
11%
Charlton by 1
21%
Draw
30%
Lincoln by 3
3%
Lincoln by 2
9%
Lincoln by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Charlton expected goals1.17
Lincoln expected goals1.09
Charlton keep a clean sheet34%
Lincoln keep a clean sheet31%
Charlton win without conceding23%
Lincoln win without conceding20%
Charlton score 2 or more33%
Lincoln score 2 or more30%

Recent form

Charlton
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Bolton0–1 · 3 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough0–3 · 31 Oct
L v Norwich1–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Watford0–2 · 17 Oct
Lincoln
L @ QPR1–2 · 7 Nov
L @ Watford0–1 · 3 Nov
L v Birmingham1–3 · 31 Oct
W v Burnley4–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

CHALIN
0.87
Goals
1.00
1.53
Conceded
1.73
0.95
xG
1.32
1.48
xG against
1.46
10.0
Shots
12.3
2.7
On target
3.1
4.1
Corners
3.5
2.07
Yellow cards
2.20
20%
Clean sheets
27%
53%
Both score
53%
53%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Charlton vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives Charlton a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Lincoln 33%. GossipBall makes Charlton slight favourites to beat Lincoln at home.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Lincoln?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Charlton, 1.1 for Lincoln). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Lincoln?

GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Charlton and Lincoln score.

Will there be three or more goals in Charlton vs Lincoln?

There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.2 for Charlton, 1.1 for Lincoln).

When is Charlton vs Lincoln?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC