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Charlton vs Swansea prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Swansea slight favourites to beat Charlton away from home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Charlton a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Swansea 39%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Charlton and 1.2 from Swansea, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 38% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Charlton keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Swansea in 36%.
Charlton are 19th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; Swansea are 7th with 26. In their last five league games Charlton took 3 points (LLLLW) and Swansea took 3 (LLWLL). This season Charlton average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Swansea average 1.61 for and 1.40 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 0, Swansea won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Swansea 3–1 Charlton, a win for Swansea.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.02 for Charlton and 1.19 for Swansea.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 0, Swansea won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Swansea 3–1 Charlton, a win for Swansea.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Charlton vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives Charlton a 31% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Swansea 39%. GossipBall makes Swansea slight favourites to beat Charlton away from home.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Swansea?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Charlton, 1.2 for Swansea). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Charlton and Swansea score.
Will there be three or more goals in Charlton vs Swansea?
There is a 38% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.0 for Charlton, 1.2 for Swansea).
When is Charlton vs Swansea?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Swansea?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Charlton won 0, Swansea won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Swansea 3–1 Charlton, a win for Swansea.