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Norwich vs Cardiff prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat Cardiff at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Norwich a 56% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Cardiff 22%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Norwich and 1.2 from Cardiff, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Norwich keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Cardiff in 13%.
Norwich are 12th in the table with 18 points from 14 games; Cardiff are 18th with 15. In their last five league games Norwich took 9 points (LLWWW) and Cardiff took 8 (WDWLD). This season Norwich average 1.48 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Cardiff average 1.80 for and 1.73 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 4, Cardiff won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Norwich 4–2 Cardiff, a win for Norwich.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.01 for Norwich and 1.21 for Cardiff.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 4, Cardiff won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Norwich 4–2 Cardiff, a win for Norwich.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Norwich vs Cardiff?
GossipBall gives Norwich a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cardiff 22%. GossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat Cardiff at home.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Cardiff?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Norwich, 1.2 for Cardiff). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Cardiff?
GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Norwich and Cardiff score.
Will there be three or more goals in Norwich vs Cardiff?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.0 for Norwich, 1.2 for Cardiff).
When is Norwich vs Cardiff?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Cardiff?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Norwich won 4, Cardiff won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Norwich 4–2 Cardiff, a win for Norwich.