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Norwich vs Wrexham prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat Wrexham at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Norwich a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Wrexham 28%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Norwich and 1.3 from Wrexham, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Norwich keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Wrexham in 18%.
Norwich are 12th in the table with 21 points from 15 games; Wrexham are 15th with 18. In their last five league games Norwich took 12 points (LWWWW) and Wrexham took 7 (WLLWD). This season Norwich average 1.58 expected goals (xG) for and 1.41 against per game; Wrexham average 1.14 for and 1.22 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Norwich won 1, Wrexham won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Wrexham 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.74 for Norwich and 1.29 for Wrexham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Norwich won 1, Wrexham won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Wrexham 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Norwich vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives Norwich a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wrexham 28%. GossipBall makes Norwich favourites to beat Wrexham at home.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Wrexham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Norwich, 1.3 for Wrexham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Norwich and Wrexham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Norwich vs Wrexham?
There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Norwich, 1.3 for Wrexham).
When is Norwich vs Wrexham?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Wrexham?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Norwich won 1, Wrexham won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Wrexham 1–2 Norwich, a win for Norwich.