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Portsmouth vs Birmingham prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Portsmouth against Birmingham as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Birmingham 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Portsmouth and 1.3 from Birmingham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Portsmouth keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Birmingham in 30%.
Portsmouth are 11th in the table with 22 points from 15 games; Birmingham are 1st with 29. In their last five league games Portsmouth took 8 points (DWDWL) and Birmingham took 12 (WLWWW). This season Portsmouth average 1.19 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Birmingham average 1.78 for and 1.37 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Portsmouth won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.22 for Portsmouth and 1.27 for Birmingham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Portsmouth won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Birmingham 37%. GossipBall sees Portsmouth against Birmingham as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Portsmouth, 1.3 for Birmingham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Portsmouth and Birmingham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.2 for Portsmouth, 1.3 for Birmingham).
When is Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Birmingham?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Portsmouth won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.