ChampionshipMatchday 19Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Portsmouth vs West Brom prediction

35%
home win
predicted score
1–2
7.8% chance
29%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 35%, draw 29%, away 36%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Portsmouth against West Brom as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives West Brom 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Portsmouth and 1.2 from West Brom, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 41% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Portsmouth keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, West Brom in 32%.

Portsmouth are 11th in the table with 22 points from 15 games; West Brom are 6th with 28. In their last five league games Portsmouth took 8 points (DWDWL) and West Brom took 11 (WDWDW). This season Portsmouth average 1.19 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; West Brom average 1.63 for and 1.36 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Portsmouth won 1, West Brom won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Portsmouth 3–0 West Brom, a win for Portsmouth.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
11
7
3
<1
<1
1
11
14
8
3
<1
<1
2
6
8
4
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Portsmouth goalsColumns: West Brom goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.6%
0–111.1%
1–010.7%
0–010.1%
1–27.8%
2–17.6%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
68%
3 or more goals
41%
4 or more goals
21%
5 or more goals
9%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.15 for Portsmouth and 1.19 for West Brom.

Winning margin

Explained
Portsmouth by 3
3%
Portsmouth by 2
10%
Portsmouth by 1
20%
Draw
29%
West Brom by 3
4%
West Brom by 2
10%
West Brom by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Portsmouth expected goals1.15
West Brom expected goals1.19
Portsmouth keep a clean sheet31%
West Brom keep a clean sheet32%
Portsmouth win without conceding20%
West Brom win without conceding22%
Portsmouth score 2 or more32%
West Brom score 2 or more33%

Recent form

Portsmouth
L v Stoke1–2 · 7 Nov
W v Swansea3–1 · 3 Nov
D @ Burnley0–0 · 31 Oct
W v Millwall2–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Wolves1–1 · 20 Oct
West Brom
W v Millwall3–0 · 7 Nov
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Portsmouth won 1, West Brom won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Portsmouth 3–0 West Brom, a win for Portsmouth.

Portsmouth 3–0 West Brom31 Jan 2026
West Brom 1–1 Portsmouth23 Aug 2025
West Brom 5–1 Portsmouth25 Jan 2025
Portsmouth 0–3 West Brom15 Sep 2024

Season averages per game

PORWBA
1.33
Goals
1.53
1.20
Conceded
1.00
1.19
xG
1.63
1.24
xG against
1.36
13.4
Shots
12.9
3.7
On target
3.9
5.7
Corners
5.7
1.40
Yellow cards
1.87
27%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
67%
53%
3+ goals
47%

Questions and answers

Who will win Portsmouth vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and West Brom 36%. GossipBall sees Portsmouth against West Brom as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs West Brom?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Portsmouth, 1.2 for West Brom). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Portsmouth and West Brom score.

Will there be three or more goals in Portsmouth vs West Brom?

There is a 41% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.1 for Portsmouth, 1.2 for West Brom).

When is Portsmouth vs West Brom?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and West Brom?

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Portsmouth won 1, West Brom won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Portsmouth 3–0 West Brom, a win for Portsmouth.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC