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Preston vs Middlesbrough prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Preston away from home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Preston a 25% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Middlesbrough 50%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Preston and 1.6 from Middlesbrough, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Preston keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Middlesbrough in 34%.
Preston are 24th in the table with 8 points from 15 games; Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29. In their last five league games Preston took 4 points (LDLLW) and Middlesbrough took 8 (DWWLD). This season Preston average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.59 against per game; Middlesbrough average 2.04 for and 0.96 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Preston won 5, Middlesbrough won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston, a win for Middlesbrough.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.08 for Preston and 1.64 for Middlesbrough.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Preston won 5, Middlesbrough won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston, a win for Middlesbrough.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Preston vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall gives Preston a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 50%. GossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Preston away from home.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Preston, 1.6 for Middlesbrough). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Preston vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Preston and Middlesbrough score.
Will there be three or more goals in Preston vs Middlesbrough?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.1 for Preston, 1.6 for Middlesbrough).
When is Preston vs Middlesbrough?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Middlesbrough?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Preston won 5, Middlesbrough won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston, a win for Middlesbrough.