ChampionshipMatchday 21Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

QPR vs Watford prediction

49%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.4% chance
26%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 26%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes QPR favourites to beat Watford at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives QPR a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Watford 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from QPR and 1.1 from Watford, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. QPR keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Watford in 21%.

QPR are 8th in the table with 24 points from 15 games; Watford are 20th with 15. In their last five league games QPR took 7 points (LWLDW) and Watford took 7 (WLLWD). This season QPR average 1.67 expected goals (xG) for and 1.10 against per game; Watford average 0.96 for and 1.77 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 4, Watford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished QPR 2–1 Watford, a win for QPR.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
7
4
1
<1
1
11
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
5
5
3
<1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: QPR goalsColumns: Watford goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.4%
1–011.0%
2–19.4%
2–09.0%
0–07.7%
0–17.2%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
49%
4 or more goals
27%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.57 for QPR and 1.05 for Watford.

Winning margin

Explained
QPR by 3
7%
QPR by 2
15%
QPR by 1
23%
Draw
26%
Watford by 3
2%
Watford by 2
7%
Watford by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
QPR expected goals1.57
Watford expected goals1.05
QPR keep a clean sheet35%
Watford keep a clean sheet21%
QPR win without conceding27%
Watford win without conceding13%
QPR score 2 or more47%
Watford score 2 or more28%

Recent form

QPR
W v Lincoln2–1 · 7 Nov
D v Burnley1–1 · 3 Nov
L @ Southampton1–4 · 31 Oct
W v Swansea5–0 · 24 Oct
L @ Birmingham0–3 · 17 Oct
Watford
D v Middlesbrough0–0 · 7 Nov
W v Lincoln1–0 · 3 Nov
L @ Norwich2–3 · 31 Oct
L @ Wolves0–1 · 24 Oct
W v Charlton2–0 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 4, Watford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished QPR 2–1 Watford, a win for QPR.

QPR 2–1 Watford3 Apr 2026
Watford 2–1 QPR16 Aug 2025
QPR 3–1 Watford1 Jan 2025
Watford 0–0 QPR30 Nov 2024
QPR 1–2 Watford14 Jan 2024
Watford 4–0 QPR5 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

QPRWAT
1.60
Goals
0.87
1.20
Conceded
1.53
1.67
xG
0.96
1.10
xG against
1.77
15.1
Shots
12.1
4.8
On target
3.7
5.6
Corners
3.7
2.13
Yellow cards
2.73
20%
Clean sheets
20%
67%
Both score
47%
60%
3+ goals
40%

Questions and answers

Who will win QPR vs Watford?

GossipBall gives QPR a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Watford 25%. GossipBall makes QPR favourites to beat Watford at home.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Watford?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for QPR, 1.1 for Watford). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in QPR vs Watford?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both QPR and Watford score.

Will there be three or more goals in QPR vs Watford?

There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for QPR, 1.1 for Watford).

When is QPR vs Watford?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Watford?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, QPR won 4, Watford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished QPR 2–1 Watford, a win for QPR.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC