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Stoke vs QPR prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Stoke slight favourites to beat QPR at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Stoke a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives QPR 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Stoke and 1.2 from QPR, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Stoke keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, QPR in 27%.
Stoke are 3rd in the table with 29 points from 15 games; QPR are 8th with 24. In their last five league games Stoke took 13 points (WDWWW) and QPR took 7 (LWLDW). This season Stoke average 1.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; QPR average 1.67 for and 1.10 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 4, QPR won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.31 for Stoke and 1.15 for QPR.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 4, QPR won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Stoke vs QPR?
GossipBall gives Stoke a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and QPR 32%. GossipBall makes Stoke slight favourites to beat QPR at home.
What is the predicted score for Stoke vs QPR?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Stoke, 1.2 for QPR). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Stoke vs QPR?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Stoke and QPR score.
Will there be three or more goals in Stoke vs QPR?
There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.3 for Stoke, 1.2 for QPR).
When is Stoke vs QPR?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke and QPR?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 4, QPR won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.