ChampionshipMatchday 17Wednesday 25 November 2026 ·

Watford vs Blackburn prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.0% chance
30%
draw
31%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 30%, away 31%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Watford slight favourites to beat Blackburn at home in the Championship on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Watford a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Blackburn 31%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Watford and 1.0 from Blackburn, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Watford keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Blackburn in 30%.

Watford are 20th in the table with 15 points from 15 games; Blackburn are 13th with 21. In their last five league games Watford took 7 points (WLLWD) and Blackburn took 6 (LWLLW). This season Watford average 0.96 expected goals (xG) for and 1.77 against per game; Blackburn average 1.04 for and 1.76 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 2, Blackburn won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
11
11
6
2
<1
<1
1
12
14
7
2
<1
<1
2
8
8
4
1
<1
3
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Watford goalsColumns: Blackburn goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.7%
1–012.3%
0–011.1%
0–110.6%
2–18.0%
2–07.6%
1 or more goals
89%
2 or more goals
66%
3 or more goals
39%
4 or more goals
19%
5 or more goals
8%
Both teams score
46%

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.20 for Watford and 1.04 for Blackburn.

Winning margin

Explained
Watford by 3
4%
Watford by 2
11%
Watford by 1
22%
Draw
30%
Blackburn by 3
3%
Blackburn by 2
9%
Blackburn by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Watford expected goals1.20
Blackburn expected goals1.04
Watford keep a clean sheet35%
Blackburn keep a clean sheet30%
Watford win without conceding24%
Blackburn win without conceding19%
Watford score 2 or more34%
Blackburn score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Watford
D v Middlesbrough0–0 · 7 Nov
W v Lincoln1–0 · 3 Nov
L @ Norwich2–3 · 31 Oct
L @ Wolves0–1 · 24 Oct
W v Charlton2–0 · 17 Oct
Blackburn
W v West Ham2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Stoke1–2 · 3 Nov
L @ Swansea0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Wrexham2–0 · 24 Oct
L @ West Brom2–3 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 2, Blackburn won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Blackburn 1–1 Watford24 Jan 2026
Watford 0–1 Blackburn13 Sep 2025
Blackburn 2–1 Watford26 Apr 2025
Watford 1–0 Blackburn26 Oct 2024
Blackburn 1–2 Watford23 Dec 2023
Watford 0–1 Blackburn27 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

WATBLA
0.87
Goals
1.47
1.53
Conceded
1.53
0.96
xG
1.04
1.77
xG against
1.76
12.1
Shots
10.9
3.7
On target
3.7
3.7
Corners
5.8
2.73
Yellow cards
2.40
20%
Clean sheets
20%
47%
Both score
73%
40%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Watford vs Blackburn?

GossipBall gives Watford a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Blackburn 31%. GossipBall makes Watford slight favourites to beat Blackburn at home.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Blackburn?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Watford, 1.0 for Blackburn). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Watford vs Blackburn?

GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Watford and Blackburn score.

Will there be three or more goals in Watford vs Blackburn?

There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.2 for Watford, 1.0 for Blackburn).

When is Watford vs Blackburn?

Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Blackburn?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 2, Blackburn won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC