ChampionshipMatchday 16Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

West Ham vs Preston prediction

73%
home win
predicted score
3–1
8.2% chance
15%
draw
11%
away win
Win probability: home 73%, draw 15%, away 11%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Preston at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives West Ham a 73% chance of winning, puts the draw at 15% and gives Preston 11%.

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals from West Ham and 1.0 from Preston, so goals look likely: there is a 73% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Preston in 6%.

West Ham are 8th in the table with 23 points from 14 games; Preston are 24th with 5. In their last five league games West Ham took 7 points (WWLLD) and Preston took 1 (LLDLL). This season West Ham average 2.07 expected goals (xG) for and 1.26 against per game; Preston average 1.14 for and 1.57 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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<1
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Rows: West Ham goalsColumns: Preston goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–18.9%
2–08.6%
3–18.2%
3–07.9%
1–16.7%
1–06.0%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
89%
3 or more goals
73%
4 or more goals
52%
5 or more goals
33%
Both teams score
61%

GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total: 2.75 for West Ham and 1.03 for Preston.

Winning margin

Explained
West Ham by 3
15%
West Ham by 2
20%
West Ham by 1
20%
Draw
15%
Preston by 3
1%
Preston by 2
3%
Preston by 1
7%

Each team's goals

Explained
West Ham expected goals2.75
Preston expected goals1.03
West Ham keep a clean sheet36%
Preston keep a clean sheet6%
West Ham win without conceding33%
Preston win without conceding4%
West Ham score 2 or more76%
Preston score 2 or more28%

Recent form

West Ham
D @ Cardiff3–3 · 4 Nov
L v West Brom1–3 · 31 Oct
L v Southampton2–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Swansea1–0 · 17 Oct
W @ Lincoln6–0 · 14 Oct
Preston
L v Sheffield United2–3 · 3 Nov
L @ Stoke0–2 · 31 Oct
D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct
L @ Birmingham0–4 · 13 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WHUPNE
2.57
Goals
0.86
1.50
Conceded
2.14
2.07
xG
1.14
1.26
xG against
1.57
17.1
Shots
11.4
6.7
On target
2.4
6.9
Corners
4.8
2.14
Yellow cards
2.14
29%
Clean sheets
0%
71%
Both score
64%
79%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Ham vs Preston?

GossipBall gives West Ham a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Preston 11%. GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Preston at home.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Preston?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.8 for West Ham, 1.0 for Preston). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in West Ham vs Preston?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both West Ham and Preston score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Ham vs Preston?

There is a 73% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total (2.8 for West Ham, 1.0 for Preston).

When is West Ham vs Preston?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC