ChampionshipMatchday 20Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Wrexham vs Charlton prediction

54%
home win
predicted score
2–0
10.9% chance
26%
draw
20%
away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 26%, away 20%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Charlton at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Wrexham a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Charlton 20%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Wrexham and 0.9 from Charlton, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Wrexham keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Charlton in 21%.

Wrexham are 15th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Charlton are 19th with 17. In their last five league games Wrexham took 7 points (WLLWD) and Charlton took 3 (LLLLW). This season Wrexham average 1.14 expected goals (xG) for and 1.22 against per game; Charlton average 0.95 for and 1.48 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 2, Charlton won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Charlton 0–1 Wrexham, a win for Wrexham.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
7
3
<1
<1
1
14
12
5
1
<1
2
11
9
4
1
<1
3
6
5
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Wrexham goalsColumns: Charlton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–013.5%
1–112.3%
2–010.9%
2–19.3%
0–09.2%
0–17.1%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
70%
3 or more goals
44%
4 or more goals
23%
5 or more goals
10%
Both teams score
46%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.57 for Wrexham and 0.85 for Charlton.

Winning margin

Explained
Wrexham by 3
8%
Wrexham by 2
17%
Wrexham by 1
25%
Draw
26%
Charlton by 3
1%
Charlton by 2
5%
Charlton by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Wrexham expected goals1.57
Charlton expected goals0.85
Wrexham keep a clean sheet43%
Charlton keep a clean sheet21%
Wrexham win without conceding33%
Charlton win without conceding12%
Wrexham score 2 or more47%
Charlton score 2 or more21%

Recent form

Wrexham
D v Wolves1–1 · 7 Nov
W v Middlesbrough2–0 · 4 Nov
L @ Sheffield United0–1 · 30 Oct
L @ Blackburn0–2 · 24 Oct
W v Preston4–1 · 17 Oct
Charlton
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Bolton0–1 · 3 Nov
L @ Middlesbrough0–3 · 31 Oct
L v Norwich1–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Watford0–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 2, Charlton won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Charlton 0–1 Wrexham, a win for Wrexham.

Charlton 0–1 Wrexham28 Feb 2026
Wrexham 1–0 Charlton8 Nov 2025

Season averages per game

WRECHA
1.20
Goals
0.87
1.33
Conceded
1.53
1.14
xG
0.95
1.22
xG against
1.48
12.0
Shots
10.0
3.4
On target
2.7
4.7
Corners
4.1
1.40
Yellow cards
2.07
20%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
53%
40%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wrexham vs Charlton?

GossipBall gives Wrexham a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Charlton 20%. GossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Charlton at home.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Charlton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Wrexham, 0.9 for Charlton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Charlton?

GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Wrexham and Charlton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wrexham vs Charlton?

There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.6 for Wrexham, 0.9 for Charlton).

When is Wrexham vs Charlton?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Charlton?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 2, Charlton won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Charlton 0–1 Wrexham, a win for Wrexham.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC