ChampionshipMatchday 18Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Wrexham vs Portsmouth prediction

50%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
25%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 50%, draw 25%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Portsmouth at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wrexham a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Portsmouth 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Wrexham and 1.1 from Portsmouth, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wrexham keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Portsmouth in 20%.

Wrexham are 15th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Portsmouth are 11th with 22. In their last five league games Wrexham took 7 points (WLLWD) and Portsmouth took 8 (DWDWL). This season Wrexham average 1.14 expected goals (xG) for and 1.22 against per game; Portsmouth average 1.19 for and 1.24 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
7
4
1
<1
1
10
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
10
5
2
<1
<1
3
5
5
3
1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Wrexham goalsColumns: Portsmouth goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.1%
1–010.5%
2–19.5%
2–08.8%
0–07.1%
0–16.8%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.62 for Wrexham and 1.08 for Portsmouth.

Winning margin

Explained
Wrexham by 3
7%
Wrexham by 2
15%
Wrexham by 1
23%
Draw
25%
Portsmouth by 3
2%
Portsmouth by 2
7%
Portsmouth by 1
15%

Each team's goals

Explained
Wrexham expected goals1.62
Portsmouth expected goals1.08
Wrexham keep a clean sheet34%
Portsmouth keep a clean sheet20%
Wrexham win without conceding27%
Portsmouth win without conceding13%
Wrexham score 2 or more48%
Portsmouth score 2 or more29%

Recent form

Wrexham
D v Wolves1–1 · 7 Nov
W v Middlesbrough2–0 · 4 Nov
L @ Sheffield United0–1 · 30 Oct
L @ Blackburn0–2 · 24 Oct
W v Preston4–1 · 17 Oct
Portsmouth
L v Stoke1–2 · 7 Nov
W v Swansea3–1 · 3 Nov
D @ Burnley0–0 · 31 Oct
W v Millwall2–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Wolves1–1 · 20 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.

Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth24 Feb 2026
Portsmouth 0–0 Wrexham5 Nov 2025

Season averages per game

WREPOR
1.20
Goals
1.33
1.33
Conceded
1.20
1.14
xG
1.19
1.22
xG against
1.24
12.0
Shots
13.4
3.4
On target
3.7
4.7
Corners
5.7
1.40
Yellow cards
1.40
20%
Clean sheets
27%
60%
Both score
60%
40%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wrexham vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall gives Wrexham a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 25%. GossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Portsmouth at home.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Wrexham, 1.1 for Portsmouth). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Wrexham and Portsmouth score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Wrexham, 1.1 for Portsmouth).

When is Wrexham vs Portsmouth?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Portsmouth?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC