Wrexham vs Portsmouth prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Portsmouth at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wrexham a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Portsmouth 25%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Wrexham and 1.1 from Portsmouth, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wrexham keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Portsmouth in 20%.
Wrexham are 15th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Portsmouth are 11th with 22. In their last five league games Wrexham took 7 points (WLLWD) and Portsmouth took 8 (DWDWL). This season Wrexham average 1.14 expected goals (xG) for and 1.22 against per game; Portsmouth average 1.19 for and 1.24 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.62 for Wrexham and 1.08 for Portsmouth.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall gives Wrexham a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 25%. GossipBall makes Wrexham favourites to beat Portsmouth at home.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Wrexham, 1.1 for Portsmouth). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Wrexham and Portsmouth score.
Will there be three or more goals in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Wrexham, 1.1 for Portsmouth).
When is Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Portsmouth?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Wrexham won 1, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2026, finished Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth, a win for Wrexham.