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Ajax vs Den Haag prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Ajax clear favourites to beat Den Haag at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Ajax a 72% chance of winning, puts the draw at 18% and gives Den Haag 10%.
GossipBall expects 2.5 goals from Ajax and 0.9 from Den Haag, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Ajax keep a clean sheet in 42% of outcomes, Den Haag in 8%.
Ajax are 2nd in the table with 24 points from 11 games; Den Haag are 17th with 6. In their last five league games Ajax took 11 points (DDWWW) and Den Haag took 5 (DDWLL). This season Ajax average 2.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.33 against per game; Den Haag average 1.11 for and 1.89 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 2.50 for Ajax and 0.86 for Den Haag.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Ajax vs Den Haag?
GossipBall gives Ajax a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Den Haag 10%. GossipBall makes Ajax clear favourites to beat Den Haag at home.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Den Haag?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.5 for Ajax, 0.9 for Den Haag). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Den Haag?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Ajax and Den Haag score.
Will there be three or more goals in Ajax vs Den Haag?
There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (2.5 for Ajax, 0.9 for Den Haag).
When is Ajax vs Den Haag?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.