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Ajax vs Utrecht prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Ajax favourites to beat Utrecht at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Ajax a 57% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Utrecht 20%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Ajax and 1.2 from Utrecht, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Ajax keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Utrecht in 13%.
Ajax are 3rd in the table with 25 points from 12 games; Utrecht are 14th with 12. In their last five league games Ajax took 11 points (DWWWD) and Utrecht took 7 (WWDLL). This season Ajax average 2.13 expected goals (xG) for and 1.43 against per game; Utrecht average 1.45 for and 1.87 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 4, Utrecht won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Ajax 1–2 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.05 for Ajax and 1.17 for Utrecht.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 4, Utrecht won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Ajax 1–2 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Ajax vs Utrecht?
GossipBall gives Ajax a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Utrecht 20%. GossipBall makes Ajax favourites to beat Utrecht at home.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Utrecht?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Ajax, 1.2 for Utrecht). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Utrecht?
GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Ajax and Utrecht score.
Will there be three or more goals in Ajax vs Utrecht?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.0 for Ajax, 1.2 for Utrecht).
When is Ajax vs Utrecht?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Utrecht?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Ajax won 4, Utrecht won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Ajax 1–2 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.