EredivisieMatchday 14Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

41%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.8% chance
25%
draw
33%
away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 25%, away 33%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Cambuur slight favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Cambuur a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Sparta Rotterdam 33%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Cambuur and 1.5 from Sparta Rotterdam, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Cambuur keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Sparta Rotterdam in 18%.

Cambuur are 10th in the table with 15 points from 12 games; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 12. In their last five league games Cambuur took 10 points (WDWWL) and Sparta Rotterdam took 7 (DWLWL). This season Cambuur average 1.34 expected goals (xG) for and 1.74 against per game; Sparta Rotterdam average 1.97 for and 1.87 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cambuur won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 May 2023, finished Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 Cambuur, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
5
4
2
<1
<1
1
5
11
8
4
2
<1
2
6
9
7
3
1
<1
3
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
2
2
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Cambuur goalsColumns: Sparta Rotterdam goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.3%
2–18.8%
1–27.8%
2–26.7%
2–05.7%
1–05.4%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
85%
3 or more goals
63%
4 or more goals
41%
5 or more goals
23%
Both teams score
66%

GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.73 for Cambuur and 1.54 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Winning margin

Explained
Cambuur by 3
6%
Cambuur by 2
13%
Cambuur by 1
19%
Draw
25%
Sparta Rotterdam by 3
4%
Sparta Rotterdam by 2
10%
Sparta Rotterdam by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Cambuur expected goals1.73
Sparta Rotterdam expected goals1.54
Cambuur keep a clean sheet22%
Sparta Rotterdam keep a clean sheet18%
Cambuur win without conceding17%
Sparta Rotterdam win without conceding13%
Cambuur score 2 or more52%
Sparta Rotterdam score 2 or more45%

Recent form

Cambuur
L v PSV Eindhoven2–5 · 8 Nov
W v Go Ahead Eagles4–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Willem II6–1 · 24 Oct
D v AZ Alkmaar2–2 · 18 Oct
W @ Zwolle1–0 · 11 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
L @ Den Haag1–3 · 7 Nov
W @ Groningen3–2 · 1 Nov
L v Ajax1–2 · 25 Oct
W v Willem II3–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Go Ahead Eagles3–3 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cambuur won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 May 2023, finished Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 Cambuur, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 Cambuur21 May 2023
Cambuur 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam21 Jan 2023
Cambuur 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam16 Jan 2022
Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Cambuur26 Sep 2021

Season averages per game

CAMSPA
2.08
Goals
1.75
2.25
Conceded
2.42
1.34
xG
1.97
1.74
xG against
1.87
12.6
Shots
13.9
5.0
On target
5.1
3.8
Corners
6.0
1.83
Yellow cards
1.83
25%
Clean sheets
0%
67%
Both score
83%
83%
3+ goals
92%

Questions and answers

Who will win Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?

GossipBall gives Cambuur a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sparta Rotterdam 33%. GossipBall makes Cambuur slight favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam at home.

What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Cambuur, 1.5 for Sparta Rotterdam). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?

GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Cambuur and Sparta Rotterdam score.

Will there be three or more goals in Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?

There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (1.7 for Cambuur, 1.5 for Sparta Rotterdam).

When is Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Cambuur and Sparta Rotterdam?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cambuur won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 May 2023, finished Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 Cambuur, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC