EredivisieMatchday 13Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction

78%
home win
predicted score
3–1
8.1% chance
14%
draw
7%
away win
Win probability: home 78%, draw 14%, away 7%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Feyenoord clear favourites to beat Excelsior at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Feyenoord a 78% chance of winning, puts the draw at 14% and gives Excelsior 7%.

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals from Feyenoord and 0.8 from Excelsior, so goals look likely: there is a 72% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Excelsior in 6%.

Feyenoord are 1st in the table with 25 points from 11 games; Excelsior are 15th with 11. In their last five league games Feyenoord took 11 points (WWWDD) and Excelsior took 1 (DLLLL). This season Feyenoord average 2.68 expected goals (xG) for and 1.00 against per game; Excelsior average 1.16 for and 1.97 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Feyenoord won 6, Excelsior won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior, a win for Feyenoord.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
3
1
<1
<1
1
6
7
2
<1
<1
2
10
8
4
1
<1
3
10
8
3
<1
<1
4
7
6
2
<1
<1
5
4
3
1
<1
Rows: Feyenoord goalsColumns: Excelsior goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–010.0%
3–09.6%
2–18.4%
3–18.1%
4–06.9%
1–16.6%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
89%
3 or more goals
72%
4 or more goals
51%
5 or more goals
32%
Both teams score
55%

GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total: 2.89 for Feyenoord and 0.85 for Excelsior.

Winning margin

Explained
Feyenoord by 3
17%
Feyenoord by 2
21%
Feyenoord by 1
19%
Draw
14%
Excelsior by 3
0%
Excelsior by 2
2%
Excelsior by 1
5%

Each team's goals

Explained
Feyenoord expected goals2.89
Excelsior expected goals0.85
Feyenoord keep a clean sheet43%
Excelsior keep a clean sheet6%
Feyenoord win without conceding40%
Excelsior win without conceding2%
Feyenoord score 2 or more78%
Excelsior score 2 or more21%

Recent form

Feyenoord
D v Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 31 Oct
D @ PSV Eindhoven1–1 · 25 Oct
W @ Telstar4–3 · 17 Oct
W v AZ Alkmaar2–0 · 10 Oct
W v Utrecht5–0 · 20 Sep
Excelsior
L v Twente0–9 · 1 Nov
L @ Fortuna Sittard0–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Heerenveen0–4 · 16 Oct
L v Groningen1–5 · 11 Oct
D @ Ajax2–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Feyenoord won 6, Excelsior won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior, a win for Feyenoord.

Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior15 Mar 2026
Excelsior 1–2 Feyenoord16 Aug 2025
Feyenoord 4–0 Excelsior19 May 2024
Excelsior 2–4 Feyenoord25 Nov 2023
Excelsior 0–2 Feyenoord7 May 2023
Feyenoord 5–1 Excelsior13 Nov 2022

Season averages per game

FEYEXC
3.00
Goals
1.45
1.09
Conceded
2.55
2.68
xG
1.16
1.00
xG against
1.97
20.1
Shots
9.6
8.2
On target
3.5
6.3
Corners
3.5
1.27
Yellow cards
1.27
36%
Clean sheets
18%
64%
Both score
55%
64%
3+ goals
91%

Questions and answers

Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

GossipBall gives Feyenoord a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Excelsior 7%. GossipBall makes Feyenoord clear favourites to beat Excelsior at home.

What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.9 for Feyenoord, 0.8 for Excelsior). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 3–0 (10%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Feyenoord and Excelsior score.

Will there be three or more goals in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

There is a 72% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total (2.9 for Feyenoord, 0.8 for Excelsior).

When is Feyenoord vs Excelsior?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Excelsior?

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Feyenoord won 6, Excelsior won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior, a win for Feyenoord.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC