EredivisieMatchday 13Sunday 22 November 2026 ·

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

54%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.8% chance
24%
draw
22%
away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 24%, away 22%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Go Ahead Eagles favourites to beat Fortuna Sittard at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC. It gives Go Ahead Eagles a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Fortuna Sittard 22%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Go Ahead Eagles and 1.2 from Fortuna Sittard, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Fortuna Sittard in 14%.

Go Ahead Eagles are 10th in the table with 14 points from 11 games; Fortuna Sittard are 6th with 19. In their last five league games Go Ahead Eagles took 5 points (DDLWL) and Fortuna Sittard took 9 (WDDWD). This season Go Ahead Eagles average 1.75 expected goals (xG) for and 1.64 against per game; Fortuna Sittard average 0.86 for and 2.18 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Go Ahead Eagles won 5, Fortuna Sittard won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
4
3
1
<1
1
7
11
6
2
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
1
<1
<1
4
3
3
2
<1
<1
5
1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles goalsColumns: Fortuna Sittard goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.4%
2–19.8%
2–08.4%
1–07.4%
3–16.3%
1–25.9%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
83%
3 or more goals
60%
4 or more goals
38%
5 or more goals
20%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.94 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

Winning margin

Explained
Go Ahead Eagles by 3
9%
Go Ahead Eagles by 2
17%
Go Ahead Eagles by 1
22%
Draw
24%
Fortuna Sittard by 3
2%
Fortuna Sittard by 2
6%
Fortuna Sittard by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Go Ahead Eagles expected goals1.94
Fortuna Sittard expected goals1.17
Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet31%
Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet14%
Go Ahead Eagles win without conceding25%
Fortuna Sittard win without conceding9%
Go Ahead Eagles score 2 or more58%
Fortuna Sittard score 2 or more33%

Recent form

Go Ahead Eagles
L @ Cambuur0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Telstar3–2 · 23 Oct
L @ Zwolle1–4 · 18 Oct
D v Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 10 Oct
D @ NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 20 Sep
Fortuna Sittard
D @ Feyenoord1–1 · 31 Oct
W v Excelsior1–0 · 25 Oct
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 18 Oct
D v Twente1–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Willem II1–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Go Ahead Eagles won 5, Fortuna Sittard won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard11 Jan 2026
Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles8 Aug 2025
Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Go Ahead Eagles10 Jan 2025
Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 Fortuna Sittard11 Aug 2024
Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles3 May 2024
Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Fortuna Sittard22 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

GOASIT
2.09
Goals
1.64
2.45
Conceded
1.64
1.75
xG
0.86
1.64
xG against
2.18
15.2
Shots
9.8
5.8
On target
4.4
5.7
Corners
2.5
0.82
Yellow cards
1.45
0%
Clean sheets
18%
91%
Both score
73%
82%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

GossipBall gives Go Ahead Eagles a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortuna Sittard 22%. GossipBall makes Go Ahead Eagles favourites to beat Fortuna Sittard at home.

What is the predicted score for Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Go Ahead Eagles, 1.2 for Fortuna Sittard). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard score.

Will there be three or more goals in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.9 for Go Ahead Eagles, 1.2 for Fortuna Sittard).

When is Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Go Ahead Eagles won 5, Fortuna Sittard won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC