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Groningen vs Heerenveen prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Groningen slight favourites to beat Heerenveen at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Groningen a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Heerenveen 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Groningen and 1.4 from Heerenveen, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Groningen keep a clean sheet in 25% of outcomes, Heerenveen in 20%.
Groningen are 8th in the table with 15 points from 11 games; Heerenveen are 7th with 18. In their last five league games Groningen took 7 points (WWLDL) and Heerenveen took 12 (WLWWW). This season Groningen average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 2.02 against per game; Heerenveen average 1.50 for and 1.44 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Heerenveen won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.62 for Groningen and 1.40 for Heerenveen.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Heerenveen won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
GossipBall gives Groningen a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Heerenveen 32%. GossipBall makes Groningen slight favourites to beat Heerenveen at home.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Groningen, 1.4 for Heerenveen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Groningen vs Heerenveen?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Groningen and Heerenveen score.
Will there be three or more goals in Groningen vs Heerenveen?
There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.6 for Groningen, 1.4 for Heerenveen).
When is Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Heerenveen?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 3, Heerenveen won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.