EredivisieMatchday 16Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

45%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.2% chance
26%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 30%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Heerenveen slight favourites to beat Go Ahead Eagles at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Heerenveen a 45% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Go Ahead Eagles 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Heerenveen and 1.4 from Go Ahead Eagles, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Heerenveen keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Go Ahead Eagles in 17%.

Heerenveen are 6th in the table with 21 points from 12 games; Go Ahead Eagles are 8th with 17. In their last five league games Heerenveen took 12 points (LWWWW) and Go Ahead Eagles took 7 (DLWLW). This season Heerenveen average 1.53 expected goals (xG) for and 1.42 against per game; Go Ahead Eagles average 1.65 for and 1.57 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 5, Go Ahead Eagles won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
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2
<1
<1
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6
12
7
3
1
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Rows: Heerenveen goalsColumns: Go Ahead Eagles goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.7%
2–19.2%
1–27.4%
2–06.5%
2–26.5%
1–06.2%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
61%
4 or more goals
39%
5 or more goals
21%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.76 for Heerenveen and 1.41 for Go Ahead Eagles.

Winning margin

Explained
Heerenveen by 3
7%
Heerenveen by 2
14%
Heerenveen by 1
20%
Draw
26%
Go Ahead Eagles by 3
4%
Go Ahead Eagles by 2
9%
Go Ahead Eagles by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Heerenveen expected goals1.76
Go Ahead Eagles expected goals1.41
Heerenveen keep a clean sheet24%
Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet17%
Heerenveen win without conceding19%
Go Ahead Eagles win without conceding12%
Heerenveen score 2 or more52%
Go Ahead Eagles score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Heerenveen
W v Feyenoord5–3 · 8 Nov
W v NEC Nijmegen1–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 24 Oct
W v Excelsior4–0 · 16 Oct
L @ PSV Eindhoven0–2 · 9 Oct
Go Ahead Eagles
W @ Excelsior1–0 · 7 Nov
L @ Cambuur0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Telstar3–2 · 23 Oct
L @ Zwolle1–4 · 18 Oct
D v Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 5, Go Ahead Eagles won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Heerenveen11 Feb 2026
Heerenveen 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles30 Aug 2025
Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Heerenveen14 May 2025
Heerenveen 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles10 Nov 2024
Heerenveen 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles17 Feb 2024
Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 Heerenveen2 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

HEEGOA
2.00
Goals
2.00
1.33
Conceded
2.25
1.53
xG
1.65
1.42
xG against
1.57
14.9
Shots
14.4
5.8
On target
5.5
4.8
Corners
5.2
1.08
Yellow cards
0.75
42%
Clean sheets
8%
42%
Both score
83%
58%
3+ goals
75%

Questions and answers

Who will win Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives Heerenveen a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Go Ahead Eagles 30%. GossipBall makes Heerenveen slight favourites to beat Go Ahead Eagles at home.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Heerenveen, 1.4 for Go Ahead Eagles). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Heerenveen and Go Ahead Eagles score.

Will there be three or more goals in Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.8 for Heerenveen, 1.4 for Go Ahead Eagles).

When is Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Go Ahead Eagles?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 5, Go Ahead Eagles won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC