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NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven favourites to beat NEC Nijmegen away from home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives NEC Nijmegen a 23% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives PSV Eindhoven 57%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 2.5 from PSV Eindhoven, so goals look likely: there is a 78% chance of three or more goals and a 74% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet in 8% of outcomes, PSV Eindhoven in 20%.
NEC Nijmegen are 13th in the table with 11 points from 11 games; PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 23. In their last five league games NEC Nijmegen took 4 points (DDDDL) and PSV Eindhoven took 7 (LWLDW). This season NEC Nijmegen average 1.67 expected goals (xG) for and 1.74 against per game; PSV Eindhoven average 2.46 for and 1.36 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 2–3 NEC Nijmegen, a win for NEC Nijmegen.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–2 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total: 1.60 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.54 for PSV Eindhoven.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 2–3 NEC Nijmegen, a win for NEC Nijmegen.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
GossipBall gives NEC Nijmegen a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PSV Eindhoven 57%. GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven favourites to beat NEC Nijmegen away from home.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for NEC Nijmegen, 2.5 for PSV Eindhoven). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 1–3 (7%).
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
GossipBall gives a 74% chance that both NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven score.
Will there be three or more goals in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
There is a 78% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total (1.6 for NEC Nijmegen, 2.5 for PSV Eindhoven).
When is NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 2–3 NEC Nijmegen, a win for NEC Nijmegen.