EredivisieMatchday 14Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

77%
home win
predicted score
3–1
8.1% chance
14%
draw
9%
away win
Win probability: home 77%, draw 14%, away 9%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Go Ahead Eagles at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives PSV Eindhoven a 77% chance of winning, puts the draw at 14% and gives Go Ahead Eagles 9%.

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 1.1 from Go Ahead Eagles, so goals look likely: there is a 81% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Go Ahead Eagles in 4%.

PSV Eindhoven are 1st in the table with 26 points from 12 games; Go Ahead Eagles are 8th with 17. In their last five league games PSV Eindhoven took 10 points (WLDWW) and Go Ahead Eagles took 7 (DLWLW). This season PSV Eindhoven average 2.47 expected goals (xG) for and 1.33 against per game; Go Ahead Eagles average 1.65 for and 1.57 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 9, Go Ahead Eagles won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven, a win for PSV Eindhoven.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
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3
4
5
0
2
<1
<1
<1
1
4
5
3
1
<1
2
7
8
4
2
<1
<1
3
7
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Rows: PSV Eindhoven goalsColumns: Go Ahead Eagles goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

3–18.1%
2–17.5%
3–07.1%
2–06.6%
4–16.5%
4–05.7%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
94%
3 or more goals
81%
4 or more goals
63%
5 or more goals
44%
Both teams score
66%

GossipBall expects 4.4 goals in total: 3.22 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.14 for Go Ahead Eagles.

Winning margin

Explained
PSV Eindhoven by 3
17%
PSV Eindhoven by 2
20%
PSV Eindhoven by 1
17%
Draw
14%
Go Ahead Eagles by 3
1%
Go Ahead Eagles by 2
2%
Go Ahead Eagles by 1
6%

Each team's goals

Explained
PSV Eindhoven expected goals3.22
Go Ahead Eagles expected goals1.14
PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet32%
Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet4%
PSV Eindhoven win without conceding30%
Go Ahead Eagles win without conceding2%
PSV Eindhoven score 2 or more83%
Go Ahead Eagles score 2 or more32%

Recent form

PSV Eindhoven
W @ Cambuur5–2 · 8 Nov
W v Willem II7–0 · 31 Oct
D v Feyenoord1–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Den Haag1–2 · 17 Oct
W v Heerenveen2–0 · 9 Oct
Go Ahead Eagles
W @ Excelsior1–0 · 7 Nov
L @ Cambuur0–4 · 31 Oct
W v Telstar3–2 · 23 Oct
L @ Zwolle1–4 · 18 Oct
D v Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 9, Go Ahead Eagles won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven, a win for PSV Eindhoven.

Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven10 May 2026
PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles18 Oct 2025
Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 PSV Eindhoven1 Mar 2025
PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Go Ahead Eagles1 Sep 2024
Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 PSV Eindhoven8 Mar 2024
PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Go Ahead Eagles27 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

PSVGOA
3.33
Goals
2.00
1.25
Conceded
2.25
2.47
xG
1.65
1.33
xG against
1.57
19.3
Shots
14.4
7.2
On target
5.5
6.4
Corners
5.2
1.67
Yellow cards
0.75
17%
Clean sheets
8%
83%
Both score
83%
83%
3+ goals
75%

Questions and answers

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives PSV Eindhoven a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Go Ahead Eagles 9%. GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites to beat Go Ahead Eagles at home.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.2 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.1 for Go Ahead Eagles). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 3–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both PSV Eindhoven and Go Ahead Eagles score.

Will there be three or more goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

There is a 81% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.4 goals in total (3.2 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.1 for Go Ahead Eagles).

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Go Ahead Eagles?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, PSV Eindhoven won 9, Go Ahead Eagles won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven, a win for PSV Eindhoven.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC