EredivisieMatchday 15Friday 4 December 2026 ·

Telstar vs Groningen prediction

41%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.8% chance
26%
draw
33%
away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 33%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Telstar slight favourites to beat Groningen at home in the Eredivisie on Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It gives Telstar a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Groningen 33%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Telstar and 1.5 from Groningen, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 65% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Telstar keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Groningen in 18%.

Telstar are 16th in the table with 10 points from 12 games; Groningen are 9th with 15. In their last five league games Telstar took 5 points (DLLWD) and Groningen took 4 (WLDLL). This season Telstar average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 2.05 against per game; Groningen average 1.78 for and 2.18 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Groningen won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Telstar 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
5
5
2
<1
<1
1
6
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
9
7
3
1
<1
3
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Telstar goalsColumns: Groningen goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.6%
2–18.8%
1–27.8%
2–26.6%
2–05.9%
1–05.7%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
62%
4 or more goals
40%
5 or more goals
22%
Both teams score
65%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.70 for Telstar and 1.50 for Groningen.

Winning margin

Explained
Telstar by 3
6%
Telstar by 2
13%
Telstar by 1
19%
Draw
26%
Groningen by 3
4%
Groningen by 2
10%
Groningen by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Telstar expected goals1.70
Groningen expected goals1.50
Telstar keep a clean sheet22%
Groningen keep a clean sheet18%
Telstar win without conceding17%
Groningen win without conceding13%
Telstar score 2 or more51%
Groningen score 2 or more44%

Recent form

Telstar
D @ Fortuna Sittard2–2 · 7 Nov
W v Utrecht4–2 · 1 Nov
L @ Go Ahead Eagles2–3 · 23 Oct
L v Feyenoord3–4 · 17 Oct
D v Den Haag2–2 · 11 Oct
Groningen
L @ AZ Alkmaar3–4 · 8 Nov
L v Sparta Rotterdam2–3 · 1 Nov
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 25 Oct
L v Ajax2–5 · 18 Oct
W @ Excelsior5–1 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Groningen won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Telstar 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.

Telstar 0–2 Groningen4 Apr 2026
Groningen 2–0 Telstar20 Sep 2025

Season averages per game

TELGRO
1.50
Goals
2.42
2.08
Conceded
2.33
1.35
xG
1.78
2.05
xG against
2.18
12.5
Shots
14.3
3.8
On target
5.8
4.3
Corners
4.0
1.33
Yellow cards
1.42
8%
Clean sheets
8%
67%
Both score
92%
75%
3+ goals
92%

Questions and answers

Who will win Telstar vs Groningen?

GossipBall gives Telstar a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Groningen 33%. GossipBall makes Telstar slight favourites to beat Groningen at home.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Groningen?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Telstar, 1.5 for Groningen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Telstar vs Groningen?

GossipBall gives a 65% chance that both Telstar and Groningen score.

Will there be three or more goals in Telstar vs Groningen?

There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.7 for Telstar, 1.5 for Groningen).

When is Telstar vs Groningen?

Kick-off is Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Telstar and Groningen?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Groningen won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Telstar 0–2 Groningen, a win for Groningen.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC