EredivisieMatchday 13Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Telstar vs Zwolle prediction

53%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
24%
draw
23%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 24%, away 23%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Telstar favourites to beat Zwolle at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Telstar a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Zwolle 23%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Telstar and 1.2 from Zwolle, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Telstar keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Zwolle in 14%.

Telstar are 16th in the table with 9 points from 11 games; Zwolle are 14th with 11. In their last five league games Telstar took 4 points (LDLLW) and Zwolle took 7 (LLWDW). This season Telstar average 1.40 expected goals (xG) for and 2.07 against per game; Zwolle average 1.06 for and 1.73 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Zwolle won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 4–1 Telstar, a win for Zwolle.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
4
3
1
<1
<1
1
7
11
6
3
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Telstar goalsColumns: Zwolle goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.2%
2–19.7%
2–07.9%
1–07.0%
3–16.3%
1–26.2%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
61%
4 or more goals
39%
5 or more goals
21%
Both teams score
62%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.94 for Telstar and 1.23 for Zwolle.

Winning margin

Explained
Telstar by 3
9%
Telstar by 2
16%
Telstar by 1
21%
Draw
24%
Zwolle by 3
2%
Zwolle by 2
7%
Zwolle by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Telstar expected goals1.94
Zwolle expected goals1.23
Telstar keep a clean sheet29%
Zwolle keep a clean sheet14%
Telstar win without conceding24%
Zwolle win without conceding9%
Telstar score 2 or more58%
Zwolle score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Telstar
W v Utrecht4–2 · 1 Nov
L @ Go Ahead Eagles2–3 · 23 Oct
L v Feyenoord3–4 · 17 Oct
D v Den Haag2–2 · 11 Oct
L @ AZ Alkmaar0–1 · 20 Sep
Zwolle
W v Den Haag1–0 · 1 Nov
D @ Utrecht1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Go Ahead Eagles4–1 · 18 Oct
L v Cambuur0–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Groningen0–3 · 18 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Zwolle won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 4–1 Telstar, a win for Zwolle.

Zwolle 4–1 Telstar31 Jan 2026
Telstar 0–2 Zwolle15 Aug 2025

Season averages per game

TELZWO
1.45
Goals
1.09
2.09
Conceded
2.09
1.40
xG
1.06
2.07
xG against
1.73
12.4
Shots
12.8
3.5
On target
4.5
4.4
Corners
4.5
1.27
Yellow cards
1.55
9%
Clean sheets
18%
64%
Both score
46%
73%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Telstar vs Zwolle?

GossipBall gives Telstar a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zwolle 23%. GossipBall makes Telstar favourites to beat Zwolle at home.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Zwolle?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Telstar, 1.2 for Zwolle). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Telstar vs Zwolle?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Telstar and Zwolle score.

Will there be three or more goals in Telstar vs Zwolle?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.9 for Telstar, 1.2 for Zwolle).

When is Telstar vs Zwolle?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Telstar and Zwolle?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Telstar won 0, Zwolle won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 4–1 Telstar, a win for Zwolle.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC