EredivisieMatchday 15Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Willem II vs Feyenoord prediction

8%
home win
predicted score
1–3
8.0% chance
16%
draw
76%
away win
Win probability: home 8%, draw 16%, away 76%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Feyenoord clear favourites to beat Willem II away from home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Willem II a 8% chance of winning, puts the draw at 16% and gives Feyenoord 76%.

GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Willem II and 2.7 from Feyenoord, so goals look likely: there is a 68% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Willem II keep a clean sheet in 7% of outcomes, Feyenoord in 44%.

Willem II are 18th in the table with 3 points from 12 games; Feyenoord are 2nd with 25. In their last five league games Willem II took 1 points (LLLLD) and Feyenoord took 8 (WWDDL). This season Willem II average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 2.15 against per game; Feyenoord average 2.55 for and 1.07 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Willem II won 0, Feyenoord won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
7
11
10
7
4
1
2
7
9
8
5
3
2
1
3
4
3
2
1
3
<1
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Willem II goalsColumns: Feyenoord goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–2 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

0–210.7%
0–39.7%
1–28.8%
1–38.0%
1–17.3%
0–17.1%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
88%
3 or more goals
68%
4 or more goals
47%
5 or more goals
28%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 0.83 for Willem II and 2.71 for Feyenoord.

Winning margin

Explained
Willem II by 3
0%
Willem II by 2
2%
Willem II by 1
6%
Draw
16%
Feyenoord by 3
16%
Feyenoord by 2
21%
Feyenoord by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Willem II expected goals0.83
Feyenoord expected goals2.71
Willem II keep a clean sheet7%
Feyenoord keep a clean sheet44%
Willem II win without conceding3%
Feyenoord win without conceding40%
Willem II score 2 or more20%
Feyenoord score 2 or more75%

Recent form

Willem II
D v Zwolle1–1 · 6 Nov
L @ PSV Eindhoven0–7 · 31 Oct
L v Cambuur1–6 · 24 Oct
L @ Sparta Rotterdam2–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Utrecht1–3 · 11 Oct
Feyenoord
L @ Heerenveen3–5 · 8 Nov
D v Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 31 Oct
D @ PSV Eindhoven1–1 · 25 Oct
W @ Telstar4–3 · 17 Oct
W v AZ Alkmaar2–0 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Willem II won 0, Feyenoord won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Willem II 1–1 Feyenoord18 Jan 2025
Feyenoord 1–1 Willem II10 Aug 2024
Feyenoord 2–0 Willem II2 Apr 2022
Willem II 0–4 Feyenoord15 Aug 2021

Season averages per game

WIIFEY
0.92
Goals
3.00
3.33
Conceded
1.42
1.15
xG
2.55
2.15
xG against
1.07
11.1
Shots
19.2
2.8
On target
7.8
4.2
Corners
5.8
1.42
Yellow cards
1.17
0%
Clean sheets
33%
75%
Both score
67%
75%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Willem II vs Feyenoord?

GossipBall gives Willem II a 8% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Feyenoord 76%. GossipBall makes Feyenoord clear favourites to beat Willem II away from home.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Feyenoord?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Willem II, 2.7 for Feyenoord). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–2 (11%), 0–3 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Willem II vs Feyenoord?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Willem II and Feyenoord score.

Will there be three or more goals in Willem II vs Feyenoord?

There is a 68% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (0.8 for Willem II, 2.7 for Feyenoord).

When is Willem II vs Feyenoord?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Willem II and Feyenoord?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Willem II won 0, Feyenoord won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC