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Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes AZ Alkmaar favourites to beat Zwolle away from home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC. It gives Zwolle a 21% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives AZ Alkmaar 54%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Zwolle and 1.9 from AZ Alkmaar, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Zwolle keep a clean sheet in 15% of outcomes, AZ Alkmaar in 32%.
Zwolle are 13th in the table with 12 points from 12 games; AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23. In their last five league games Zwolle took 8 points (LWDWD) and AZ Alkmaar took 4 (LDLLW). This season Zwolle average 1.03 expected goals (xG) for and 1.65 against per game; AZ Alkmaar average 2.24 for and 1.26 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Zwolle won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for Zwolle.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.13 for Zwolle and 1.89 for AZ Alkmaar.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Zwolle won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for Zwolle.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
GossipBall gives Zwolle a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AZ Alkmaar 54%. GossipBall makes AZ Alkmaar favourites to beat Zwolle away from home.
What is the predicted score for Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Zwolle, 1.9 for AZ Alkmaar). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar score.
Will there be three or more goals in Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.1 for Zwolle, 1.9 for AZ Alkmaar).
When is Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Zwolle won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar, a win for Zwolle.