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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Alaves slight favourites to beat Espanyol at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Alaves a 45% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Espanyol 27%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Alaves and 0.9 from Espanyol, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 44% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Alaves keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Espanyol in 27%.
Alaves are 12th in the table with 13 points from 12 games; Espanyol are 13th with 12. In their last five league games Alaves took 2 points (LLDLD) and Espanyol took 5 (DLLWD). This season Alaves average 1.21 expected goals (xG) for and 1.38 against per game; Espanyol average 0.97 for and 1.23 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Espanyol 1–2 Alaves, a win for Alaves.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.30 for Alaves and 0.95 for Espanyol.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Espanyol 1–2 Alaves, a win for Alaves.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Alaves vs Espanyol?
GossipBall gives Alaves a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Espanyol 27%. GossipBall makes Alaves slight favourites to beat Espanyol at home.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Espanyol?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Alaves, 0.9 for Espanyol). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Espanyol?
GossipBall gives a 44% chance that both Alaves and Espanyol score.
Will there be three or more goals in Alaves vs Espanyol?
There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.3 for Alaves, 0.9 for Espanyol).
When is Alaves vs Espanyol?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Espanyol?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 3, Espanyol won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Espanyol 1–2 Alaves, a win for Alaves.