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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Real Betis at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Atlético Madrid a 58% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Real Betis 20%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Atlético Madrid and 1.0 from Real Betis, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Atlético Madrid keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Real Betis in 15%.
Atlético Madrid are 3rd in the table with 28 points from 12 games; Real Betis are 4th with 26. In their last five league games Atlético Madrid took 12 points (WWWWL) and Real Betis took 10 (WLDWW). This season Atlético Madrid average 1.61 expected goals (xG) for and 1.13 against per game; Real Betis average 1.63 for and 1.73 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Atlético Madrid won 7, Real Betis won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 0–1 Real Betis, a win for Real Betis.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.91 for Atlético Madrid and 1.04 for Real Betis.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Atlético Madrid won 7, Real Betis won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 0–1 Real Betis, a win for Real Betis.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?
GossipBall gives Atlético Madrid a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Betis 20%. GossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Real Betis at home.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Atlético Madrid, 1.0 for Real Betis). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?
GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Atlético Madrid and Real Betis score.
Will there be three or more goals in Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.9 for Atlético Madrid, 1.0 for Real Betis).
When is Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Madrid and Real Betis?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Atlético Madrid won 7, Real Betis won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 0–1 Real Betis, a win for Real Betis.