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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Villarreal slight favourites to beat Celta Vigo away from home in La Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Celta Vigo a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Villarreal 40%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.5 from Villarreal, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Celta Vigo keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Villarreal in 24%.
Celta Vigo are 11th in the table with 13 points from 12 games; Villarreal are 8th with 15. In their last five league games Celta Vigo took 6 points (DWDLD) and Villarreal took 7 (LDWLW). This season Celta Vigo average 1.12 expected goals (xG) for and 1.09 against per game; Villarreal average 2.00 for and 1.07 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Celta Vigo won 2, Villarreal won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo, a win for Villarreal.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.43 for Celta Vigo and 1.52 for Villarreal.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Celta Vigo won 2, Villarreal won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo, a win for Villarreal.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
GossipBall gives Celta Vigo a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal 40%. GossipBall makes Villarreal slight favourites to beat Celta Vigo away from home.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Celta Vigo, 1.5 for Villarreal). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Celta Vigo and Villarreal score.
Will there be three or more goals in Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.4 for Celta Vigo, 1.5 for Villarreal).
When is Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Villarreal?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Celta Vigo won 2, Villarreal won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo, a win for Villarreal.