La LigaMatchday 14Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona prediction

predicted score
1–2
10.0% chance
21%
draw
61%
away win
Win probability: home 19%, draw 21%, away 61%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Barcelona clear favourites to beat Deportivo La Coruña away from home in La Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC. It gives Deportivo La Coruña a 19% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Barcelona 61%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Deportivo La Coruña and 2.0 from Barcelona, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Deportivo La Coruña keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Barcelona in 36%.

Deportivo La Coruña are 9th in the table with 15 points from 12 games; Barcelona are 1st with 33. In their last five league games Deportivo La Coruña took 5 points (LDLWD) and Barcelona took 12 (WWLWW). This season Deportivo La Coruña average 1.19 expected goals (xG) for and 1.14 against per game; Barcelona average 3.24 for and 1.11 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
10
10
7
3
1
1
5
10
10
7
3
1
2
2
5
5
3
2
<1
3
<1
2
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Deportivo La Coruña goalsColumns: Barcelona goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

1–210.0%
0–29.7%
1–19.7%
0–19.7%
1–36.7%
0–36.6%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
59%
4 or more goals
37%
5 or more goals
19%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.03 for Deportivo La Coruña and 2.03 for Barcelona.

Winning margin

Explained
Deportivo La Coruña by 3
1%
Deportivo La Coruña by 2
5%
Deportivo La Coruña by 1
12%
Draw
21%
Barcelona by 3
11%
Barcelona by 2
18%
Barcelona by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Deportivo La Coruña expected goals1.03
Barcelona expected goals2.03
Deportivo La Coruña keep a clean sheet13%
Barcelona keep a clean sheet36%
Deportivo La Coruña win without conceding9%
Barcelona win without conceding31%
Deportivo La Coruña score 2 or more27%
Barcelona score 2 or more60%

Recent form

Deportivo La Coruña
D @ Espanyol0–0 · 7 Nov
W v Osasuna2–1 · 2 Nov
L @ Atlético Madrid0–1 · 24 Oct
D v Levante1–1 · 16 Oct
L @ Real Sociedad2–3 · 11 Oct
Barcelona
W @ Atlético Madrid2–1 · 8 Nov
W v Alaves6–1 · 31 Oct
L v Real Madrid1–2 · 25 Oct
W @ Real Betis5–2 · 17 Oct
W v Getafe3–0 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

DEPFCB
1.25
Goals
4.00
1.17
Conceded
1.08
1.19
xG
3.24
1.14
xG against
1.11
11.9
Shots
20.1
4.3
On target
7.8
5.3
Corners
6.4
1.92
Yellow cards
1.50
8%
Clean sheets
33%
75%
Both score
67%
33%
3+ goals
92%

Questions and answers

Who will win Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona?

GossipBall gives Deportivo La Coruña a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barcelona 61%. GossipBall makes Barcelona clear favourites to beat Deportivo La Coruña away from home.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Deportivo La Coruña, 2.0 for Barcelona). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Deportivo La Coruña and Barcelona score.

Will there be three or more goals in Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona?

There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.0 for Deportivo La Coruña, 2.0 for Barcelona).

When is Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC