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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Elche away from home in La Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Elche a 26% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Atlético Madrid 50%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Elche and 1.7 from Atlético Madrid, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Elche keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Atlético Madrid in 32%.
Elche are 18th in the table with 10 points from 12 games; Atlético Madrid are 3rd with 28. In their last five league games Elche took 5 points (DDWLL) and Atlético Madrid took 12 (WWWWL). This season Elche average 1.20 expected goals (xG) for and 1.76 against per game; Atlético Madrid average 1.61 for and 1.13 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Elche won 2, Atlético Madrid won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Apr 2026, finished Elche 3–2 Atlético Madrid, a win for Elche.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.13 for Elche and 1.67 for Atlético Madrid.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Elche won 2, Atlético Madrid won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Apr 2026, finished Elche 3–2 Atlético Madrid, a win for Elche.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall gives Elche a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Madrid 50%. GossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Elche away from home.
What is the predicted score for Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Elche, 1.7 for Atlético Madrid). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Elche and Atlético Madrid score.
Will there be three or more goals in Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.1 for Elche, 1.7 for Atlético Madrid).
When is Elche vs Atlético Madrid?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Atlético Madrid?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Elche won 2, Atlético Madrid won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Apr 2026, finished Elche 3–2 Atlético Madrid, a win for Elche.