La LigaMatchday 15Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Getafe vs Valencia prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
1–0
16.7% chance
32%
draw
29%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 32%, away 29%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Getafe slight favourites to beat Valencia at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Getafe a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 32% and gives Valencia 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Getafe and 0.8 from Valencia, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 27% chance of three or more goals and a 34% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–0. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 45% of outcomes, Valencia in 37%.

Getafe are 15th in the table with 12 points from 12 games; Valencia are 19th with 9. In their last five league games Getafe took 4 points (LDLWL) and Valencia took 5 (DDLWL). This season Getafe average 0.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.39 against per game; Valencia average 0.95 for and 1.54 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 2, Valencia won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Valencia, a win for Valencia.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
17
14
5
1
<1
1
17
13
5
1
<1
2
8
7
3
<1
<1
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
Rows: Getafe goalsColumns: Valencia goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

1–016.7%
0–016.6%
0–113.6%
1–113.1%
2–08.2%
2–16.5%
1 or more goals
83%
2 or more goals
53%
3 or more goals
27%
4 or more goals
11%
5 or more goals
4%
Both teams score
34%

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals in total: 0.99 for Getafe and 0.80 for Valencia.

Winning margin

Explained
Getafe by 3
3%
Getafe by 2
11%
Getafe by 1
24%
Draw
32%
Valencia by 3
2%
Valencia by 2
7%
Valencia by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Getafe expected goals0.99
Valencia expected goals0.80
Getafe keep a clean sheet45%
Valencia keep a clean sheet37%
Getafe win without conceding28%
Valencia win without conceding21%
Getafe score 2 or more26%
Valencia score 2 or more19%

Recent form

Getafe
L @ Villarreal0–2 · 8 Nov
W v Sevilla3–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Athletic Club0–4 · 25 Oct
D v Rayo Vallecano1–1 · 19 Oct
L @ Barcelona0–3 · 10 Oct
Valencia
L v Real Madrid0–3 · 7 Nov
W @ Elche1–0 · 1 Nov
L v Villarreal1–2 · 24 Oct
D v Athletic Club0–0 · 17 Oct
D @ Santander2–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 2, Valencia won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Valencia, a win for Valencia.

Getafe 0–1 Valencia18 Jan 2026
Valencia 3–0 Getafe29 Aug 2025
Valencia 3–0 Getafe10 May 2025
Getafe 1–1 Valencia27 Oct 2024
Valencia 1–0 Getafe9 Mar 2024
Getafe 1–0 Valencia8 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

GETVAL
0.67
Goals
0.67
1.50
Conceded
1.67
0.71
xG
0.95
1.39
xG against
1.54
10.4
Shots
9.8
2.6
On target
2.8
4.0
Corners
3.8
3.00
Yellow cards
2.58
17%
Clean sheets
33%
33%
Both score
33%
33%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Getafe vs Valencia?

GossipBall gives Getafe a 39% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Valencia 29%. GossipBall makes Getafe slight favourites to beat Valencia at home.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Valencia?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Getafe, 0.8 for Valencia). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (17%), 0–0 (17%), 0–1 (14%).

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Valencia?

GossipBall gives a 34% chance that both Getafe and Valencia score.

Will there be three or more goals in Getafe vs Valencia?

There is a 27% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 1.8 goals in total (1.0 for Getafe, 0.8 for Valencia).

When is Getafe vs Valencia?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Valencia?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 2, Valencia won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Valencia, a win for Valencia.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC