Español
PortuguêsMalaga vs Athletic Club prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Athletic Club favourites to beat Malaga away from home in La Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC. It gives Malaga a 23% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Athletic Club 50%.
GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Malaga and 1.5 from Athletic Club, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Malaga keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Athletic Club in 40%.
Malaga are 20th in the table with 5 points from 12 games; Athletic Club are 7th with 16. In their last five league games Malaga took 2 points (DLDLL) and Athletic Club took 8 (DLWWD). This season Malaga average 0.98 expected goals (xG) for and 1.75 against per game; Athletic Club average 1.65 for and 1.13 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 0.91 for Malaga and 1.47 for Athletic Club.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Malaga vs Athletic Club?
GossipBall gives Malaga a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Club 50%. GossipBall makes Athletic Club favourites to beat Malaga away from home.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Athletic Club?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Malaga, 1.5 for Athletic Club). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Athletic Club?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Malaga and Athletic Club score.
Will there be three or more goals in Malaga vs Athletic Club?
There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (0.9 for Malaga, 1.5 for Athletic Club).
When is Malaga vs Athletic Club?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC.