La LigaMatchday 15Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante prediction

48%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.3% chance
25%
draw
27%
away win
Win probability: home 48%, draw 25%, away 27%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Rayo Vallecano favourites to beat Levante at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Rayo Vallecano a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Levante 27%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.1 from Levante, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Rayo Vallecano keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Levante in 22%.

Rayo Vallecano are 14th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Levante are 17th with 11. In their last five league games Rayo Vallecano took 5 points (DDLWL) and Levante took 5 (DWLLD). This season Rayo Vallecano average 1.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.68 against per game; Levante average 1.26 for and 2.02 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
8
4
2
<1
1
12
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
4
5
3
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Rayo Vallecano goalsColumns: Levante goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.0%
1–011.5%
2–19.3%
2–08.7%
0–18.1%
0–07.2%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.54 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.07 for Levante.

Winning margin

Explained
Rayo Vallecano by 3
7%
Rayo Vallecano by 2
15%
Rayo Vallecano by 1
24%
Draw
25%
Levante by 3
2%
Levante by 2
7%
Levante by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Rayo Vallecano expected goals1.54
Levante expected goals1.07
Rayo Vallecano keep a clean sheet34%
Levante keep a clean sheet22%
Rayo Vallecano win without conceding27%
Levante win without conceding14%
Rayo Vallecano score 2 or more45%
Levante score 2 or more29%

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano
L @ Real Sociedad0–1 · 8 Nov
W v Celta Vigo3–0 · 31 Oct
L v Elche0–3 · 24 Oct
D @ Getafe1–1 · 19 Oct
D @ Osasuna1–1 · 19 Sep
Levante
D @ Celta Vigo0–0 · 8 Nov
L v Atlético Madrid0–2 · 31 Oct
L @ Real Sociedad1–2 · 25 Oct
W v Athletic Club3–1 · 21 Oct
D @ Deportivo La Coruña1–1 · 16 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Levante16 Mar 2026
Levante 0–3 Rayo Vallecano19 Oct 2025
Rayo Vallecano 2–4 Levante20 May 2022
Levante 1–1 Rayo Vallecano11 Sep 2021

Season averages per game

RAYLEV
1.36
Goals
1.33
1.91
Conceded
1.75
1.37
xG
1.26
1.68
xG against
2.02
14.4
Shots
11.6
4.8
On target
3.9
5.3
Corners
3.3
2.45
Yellow cards
1.42
9%
Clean sheets
25%
73%
Both score
58%
64%
3+ goals
58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

GossipBall gives Rayo Vallecano a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levante 27%. GossipBall makes Rayo Vallecano favourites to beat Levante at home.

What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Rayo Vallecano, 1.1 for Levante). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Rayo Vallecano and Levante score.

Will there be three or more goals in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.5 for Rayo Vallecano, 1.1 for Levante).

When is Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Levante?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC