Rayo Vallecano vs Levante prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Rayo Vallecano favourites to beat Levante at home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Rayo Vallecano a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Levante 27%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.1 from Levante, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Rayo Vallecano keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Levante in 22%.
Rayo Vallecano are 14th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Levante are 17th with 11. In their last five league games Rayo Vallecano took 5 points (DDLWL) and Levante took 5 (DWLLD). This season Rayo Vallecano average 1.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.68 against per game; Levante average 1.26 for and 2.02 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.54 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.07 for Levante.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
GossipBall gives Rayo Vallecano a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levante 27%. GossipBall makes Rayo Vallecano favourites to beat Levante at home.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Rayo Vallecano, 1.1 for Levante). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Rayo Vallecano and Levante score.
Will there be three or more goals in Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.5 for Rayo Vallecano, 1.1 for Levante).
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Levante?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Levante?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Levante won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.