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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Real Betis favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at home in La Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Real Betis a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Rayo Vallecano 22%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Real Betis and 0.9 from Rayo Vallecano, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Real Betis keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Rayo Vallecano in 19%.
Real Betis are 4th in the table with 26 points from 12 games; Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12. In their last five league games Real Betis took 10 points (WLDWW) and Rayo Vallecano took 5 (DDLWL). This season Real Betis average 1.63 expected goals (xG) for and 1.73 against per game; Rayo Vallecano average 1.37 for and 1.68 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Betis won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.66 for Real Betis and 0.94 for Rayo Vallecano.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Betis won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?
GossipBall gives Real Betis a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rayo Vallecano 22%. GossipBall makes Real Betis favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at home.
What is the predicted score for Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Real Betis, 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano score.
Will there be three or more goals in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Real Betis, 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano).
When is Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Betis won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.