Español
PortuguêsReal Sociedad vs Real Madrid prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Real Madrid favourites to beat Real Sociedad away from home in La Liga on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Real Sociedad a 21% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Real Madrid 58%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Real Sociedad and 2.0 from Real Madrid, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, Real Madrid in 33%.
Real Sociedad are 5th in the table with 22 points from 12 games; Real Madrid are 2nd with 30. In their last five league games Real Sociedad took 12 points (WWWLW) and Real Madrid took 15 (WWWWW). This season Real Sociedad average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 1.65 against per game; Real Madrid average 2.47 for and 0.94 against.
In 11 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 1, Real Madrid won 9 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Aug 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Real Madrid.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.10 for Real Sociedad and 1.97 for Real Madrid.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 11 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 1, Real Madrid won 9 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Aug 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Real Madrid.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
GossipBall gives Real Sociedad a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Madrid 58%. GossipBall makes Real Madrid favourites to beat Real Sociedad away from home.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Real Sociedad, 2.0 for Real Madrid). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Real Sociedad and Real Madrid score.
Will there be three or more goals in Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.1 for Real Sociedad, 2.0 for Real Madrid).
When is Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Real Madrid?
In 11 league meetings since 2021, Real Sociedad won 1, Real Madrid won 9 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 Aug 2026, finished Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad, a win for Real Madrid.