La LigaMatchday 15Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction

34%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.9% chance
23%
draw
Win probability: home 34%, draw 23%, away 43%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Deportivo La Coruña slight favourites to beat Santander away from home in La Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It gives Santander a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Deportivo La Coruña 43%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Santander and 1.7 from Deportivo La Coruña, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Santander keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Deportivo La Coruña in 23%.

Santander are 10th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Deportivo La Coruña are 9th with 15. In their last five league games Santander took 7 points (DLWLW) and Deportivo La Coruña took 5 (LDLWD). This season Santander average 1.42 expected goals (xG) for and 2.22 against per game; Deportivo La Coruña average 1.19 for and 1.14 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
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0
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7
6
3
1
<1
1
6
10
9
5
2
<1
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<1
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Rows: Santander goalsColumns: Deportivo La Coruña goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.4%
1–28.9%
2–17.7%
0–17.3%
2–26.6%
1–06.4%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
82%
3 or more goals
61%
4 or more goals
39%
5 or more goals
21%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.47 for Santander and 1.69 for Deportivo La Coruña.

Winning margin

Explained
Santander by 3
4%
Santander by 2
10%
Santander by 1
18%
Draw
23%
Deportivo La Coruña by 3
6%
Deportivo La Coruña by 2
13%
Deportivo La Coruña by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Santander expected goals1.47
Deportivo La Coruña expected goals1.69
Santander keep a clean sheet18%
Deportivo La Coruña keep a clean sheet23%
Santander win without conceding14%
Deportivo La Coruña win without conceding19%
Santander score 2 or more43%
Deportivo La Coruña score 2 or more50%

Recent form

Santander
W @ Malaga2–1 · 7 Nov
L v Real Madrid0–3 · 1 Nov
W v Espanyol2–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Osasuna0–2 · 18 Oct
D v Valencia2–2 · 11 Oct
Deportivo La Coruña
D @ Espanyol0–0 · 7 Nov
W v Osasuna2–1 · 2 Nov
L @ Atlético Madrid0–1 · 24 Oct
D v Levante1–1 · 16 Oct
L @ Real Sociedad2–3 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

SANDEP
1.42
Goals
1.25
2.50
Conceded
1.17
1.42
xG
1.19
2.22
xG against
1.14
12.9
Shots
11.9
4.8
On target
4.3
4.8
Corners
5.3
2.58
Yellow cards
1.92
0%
Clean sheets
8%
67%
Both score
75%
83%
3+ goals
33%

Questions and answers

Who will win Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña?

GossipBall gives Santander a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo La Coruña 43%. GossipBall makes Deportivo La Coruña slight favourites to beat Santander away from home.

What is the predicted score for Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Santander, 1.7 for Deportivo La Coruña). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Santander and Deportivo La Coruña score.

Will there be three or more goals in Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.5 for Santander, 1.7 for Deportivo La Coruña).

When is Santander vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC